PCT insight for COVID-19 disease severity and bacterial coinfection
An analysis of 1,099 COVID-19 patient data sets from medical centers in China show that PCT was low (< 0.5 µg/L) in > 96% of cases with low disease severity and absence of adverse outcome (combined endpoint of ICU admission, invasive ventilation, death).2 In fact, most COVID-19 patients had PCT values < 0.25 µg/L or even < 0.1 µg/L.2-3 This correlates to findings from previous viral epidemics (influenza H1N1, SARS, MERS) that PCT is usually low (< 0.1 - < 0.5 µg/L) in hospitalized patients with pure viral infection.9-14
In cases with bacterial coinfection and higher severity of disease, PCT has been found to be higher (> 0.5 µg/L).1-6 Thus, according to a recent meta-analysis of published COVID-19 patient data, PCT > 0.5 µg/L corresponds to an almost five-times higher risk of severe infection (OR, 4.76; 95% CI, 2.74-8.29) compared to patients with lower PCT.15 Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) and septic shock were the most frequent complications of COVID-19; secondary infections during the hospital stay were an additional risk factor.1-6 Patient mortality was almost always associated with sepsis/septic shock and respiratory failure/ARDS.2,3,6,9